Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.080251 1.256425 1.445419 1.662469 1.904054 2.163898 2.463701
2025-05-25 0.751872 0.989853 1.269168 1.617321 2.035568 2.517736 3.111249
2025-06-01 0.561972 0.830394 1.172185 1.629526 2.214903 2.928225 3.851328
2025-06-08 0.423854 0.699822 1.079080 1.619955 2.351356 3.285111 4.543926
2025-06-15 0.350733 0.638584 1.060984 1.696080 2.593686 3.782219 5.435542
2025-06-22 0.285086 0.571995 1.020666 1.729607 2.772909 4.200227 6.241215
2025-06-29 0.221954 0.493670 0.947524 1.701305 2.855346 4.484384 6.875185
2025-07-06 0.182955 0.447186 0.915305 1.727127 3.012382 4.874518 7.666293
2025-07-13 0.151176 0.405997 0.884130 1.748049 3.159050 5.252652 8.452457
2025-07-20 0.126625 0.372861 0.860942 1.777178 3.316788 5.650707 9.279419
2025-07-27 0.104832 0.339638 0.831682 1.790907 3.447862 6.011733 10.063173
2025-08-03 0.081547 0.295651 0.773862 1.746290 3.477622 6.216632 10.620558
2025-08-10 0.066019 0.267035 0.743926 1.752070 3.596686 6.573104 11.432487
2025-08-17 0.049891 0.230527 0.690661 1.707678 3.626564 6.791370 12.045797
2025-08-24 0.040374 0.209884 0.668818 1.721555 3.758388 7.177654 12.931294
2025-08-31 0.031549 0.187216 0.637561 1.712058 3.846115 7.494372 13.718006
2025-09-07 0.027914 0.181982 0.648560 1.791730 4.102016 8.099103 14.979093
2025-09-14 0.023195 0.169933 0.639528 1.826811 4.275496 8.571168 16.041627
2025-09-21 0.017453 0.149511 0.603385 1.797318 4.322660 8.828946 16.764768
2025-09-28 0.014243 0.138961 0.592816 1.824282 4.480123 9.281219 17.816990
2025-10-05 0.011492 0.128680 0.580780 1.846121 4.627875 9.720910 18.859852
2025-10-12 0.009374 0.120304 0.572798 1.876513 4.793860 10.197675 19.976293
2025-10-19 0.007403 0.110823 0.559017 1.890836 4.927080 10.619779 21.011490